Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: VIENNA (AUSTRIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.84	1.47
	2.85	1.47
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.88	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
33.4%

Matteo Arnaldi
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ramos-Vinolas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Vienna
22.10.23	Fabian Marozsan - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	Ramos A. walkover ✺
21.10.23	Dino Prizmic - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 ?WLWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

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