Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.48	2.65
	1.52	2.69
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.38)	2.62 ↓ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63.6%

Constant Lestienne
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's form might have worsened.

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constant Lestienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Lestienne will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lestienne is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
09.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
08.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
16.01.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LL?LW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Constant Lestienne - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Constant Lestienne - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.23	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Cameron Norrie - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL

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