Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 28 September 2025, Sunday
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Daniil Medvedev |
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Daniil Medvedev
59.6% | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 46.5% – 86.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Games - Medvedev (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 12 - 75%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 4 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 20.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Montreal | | | 08.08.24 | Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1:2 | | ATP Dubai | | | 29.02.24 | Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2:0 | | ATP Indian Wells | | | 15.03.23 | Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2:0 | | ATP Rotterdam | | | 14.02.23 | Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2:1 | | ATP Madrid | | | 05.05.21 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Daniil Medvedev | 1:2 |
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