Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.41	3.13
	1.36	3.03	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.38	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	3.17 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
69.9%

Quentin Halys
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quentin Halys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Quentin Halys Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 17. Halys is ranked ATP: 111.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Halys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW
- Quentin Halys
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Quentin Halys - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Quentin Halys - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
09.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Quentin Halys	0:2

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