Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.63 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
64.1%

Valentin Royer
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Royer will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Royer will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 15. Royer is ranked ATP: 59.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Davidovich Fokina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert U. retired ✺
24.10.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Ruud C. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?L??W
- Valentin Royer
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Valentin Royer - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

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