What is the expert prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, October 26, 2025)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7, COSMOTE Sport 9
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.99	1.82	Watch

	2.02	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
47.4%

Joao Fonseca
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 63.2% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Fonseca (votes: 6 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 18. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Basel
25.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert U. retired ✺
24.10.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Ruud C. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ??WWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Basel
25.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	Fonseca J. walkover ✺
21.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W??WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide