Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7, COSMOTE Sport 9
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.99	1.82	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.83	Watch
	1.99	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
47.4%

Joao Fonseca
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 63.2% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Fonseca (votes: 6 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 18. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Basel
25.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert U. retired ✺
24.10.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Ruud C. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ??WWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Basel
25.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca	Fonseca J. walkover ✺
21.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W??WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired

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