Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.45	2.67	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.46	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
62.7%

Valentin Vacherot
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vacherot will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 15. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 32.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vacherot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Adelaide
14.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
28.12.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?LW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Adelaide
14.01.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Valentin Vacherot	Vacherot V. walkover ✺
12.01.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Valentin Vacherot - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Valentin Vacherot - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3

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