Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Alejandro Juan Mano		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.21	1.59
	2.25	1.67
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Juan Mano
41.5%

Federico Arnaboldi
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Juan Mano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Juan Mano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Juan Mano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Juan Mano - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juan Mano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Juan Mano is ranked ATP: 746. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 385.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juan Mano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Juan Mano
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Sander Jong - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	Carrascosa Diaz E. retired ✺
26.02.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Luca Staeheli - Alejandro Juan Mano	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?WWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Joao Domingues - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Oscar Weightman - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Alejandro Juan Mano - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide