Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Luka Mikrut		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.83	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.81	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
51.1%

Alejandro Moro Canas
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mikrut will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mikrut: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Moro Canas will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 160. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 245.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mikrut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Adrian Andreev - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Giles Hussey - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1
04.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Luka Mikrut	1:2

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