Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.22	1.59
	2.19	1.72
	2.27	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
42%

Luka Mikrut
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Mikrut will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moro Canas: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Moro Canas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 269. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 242.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikrut could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Mikrut will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Johannes Ingildsen - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Francisco Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Orlando Luz	Moro Canas A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWL?
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW

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