Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2, hard - Final

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.95	1.44
	2.63	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
35.8%

Lloyd Harris
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: Lloyd Harris will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lloyd Harris will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 276. Harris is ranked ATP: 186.

Now, both players are in good form.

Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Harris could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Harris will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lloyd Harris - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Hassan - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
06.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWW?L
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Hugo Grenier - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWW?

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