Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	14:40	Veikkaus TV


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.69
	2.1	1.8
	2.82	1.39	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.02)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
43.6%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
56.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 246. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 183.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Iiro Vasa	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Toby Samuel - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.01.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2

Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Merida Aguilar