Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Roman Safiullin		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.58	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
36.7%

Jakub Mensik
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 71. Mensik is ranked ATP: 54.

Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mensik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mensik to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Christopher Eubanks - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

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