Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Pavel Kotov		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
58.2%

Alejandro Moro Canas
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Moro Canas (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 50%). Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 124. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 156.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

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