Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday


	David Goffin		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.13
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.98)	2.06 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
53.7%

Luciano Darderi
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in David Goffin's performance.

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with David Goffin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

David Goffin - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Darderi will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 90. Darderi is ranked ATP: 38.

Goffin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Darderi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	David Goffin - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.24	Roman Safiullin - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	David Goffin - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	David Goffin - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Luciano Darderi - Flavio Cobolli	Darderi L. retired ✺
13.08.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WLLL

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