Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, Sportklub
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Francis Tiafoe		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.32
	1.64	2.38
	1.63	2.33	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)	2.29 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
58.4%

Alejandro Tabilo
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 27. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 21.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Washington
03.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Matteo Berrettini - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
04.07.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alejandro Tabilo	2:3 ✺
03.07.24	Daniel Evans - Alejandro Tabilo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
14.03.23	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0
ATP Challenger
29.01.20	Alejandro Tabilo - Francis Tiafoe	0:2

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