Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)


	Alejandro Tabilo		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.52
	1.58	2.52
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
60.6%

Flavio Cobolli
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Alejandro Tabilo - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tabilo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cobolli is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tabilo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Flavio Cobolli - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Sumit Nagal - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

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