Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.8
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.78
	2	1.8
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.54)	1.81 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
47.8%

Jesper De Jong
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Tabilo - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 50%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 61. De Jong is ranked ATP: 88.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
06.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Zsombor Piros - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Lukas Klein - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Hynek Barton - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexei Popyrin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Jesper De Jong	3:1 ✺
27.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.11.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Jesper De Jong	2:0
19.11.20	Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0

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