Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jesper De Jong		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.68	2.18
	1.69	2.32
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	1.58	2.33
	2.98	1.42	Watch
	1.70	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
50.3%

Francesco Passaro
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 106. Passaro is ranked ATP: 207.

De Jong has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Passaro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, De Jong won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Adam Walton - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Nicolas Kicker - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	2:1

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