Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
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	Alejandro Tabilo		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.57	1.57
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.67	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.11)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
36.1%

Alexei Popyrin
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Alejandro Tabilo - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Popyrin will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 61. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25.

Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Popyrin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Popyrin could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Arthur Cazaux	3:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 W?LWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexei Popyrin	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LWWL

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