Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Jesper De Jong		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.89	1.3
	3.48	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.57	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.04)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
27.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

Jesper De Jong - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - De Jong (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - De Jong (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 2 - 25%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 93. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Jong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

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