Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Francisco Cerundolo		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.86
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.06	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.19)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
46.6%

Karen Khachanov
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	0%	39.3%

Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Khachanov will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Khachanov to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Flavio Cobolli - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Montreal
08.08.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2

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