Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.00
	1.84	1.94
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.96
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
51.8%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 28., and Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 41..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tabilo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Merida Aguilar	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

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