Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	13:00	Veikkaus TV


	Alejo Sanchez Quilez		Daniel Merida Aguilar

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Alejo Sanchez Quilez
20.4%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
79.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejo Sanchez Quilez's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 658. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 183.

Sanchez Quilez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sanchez Quilez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mario Mansilla Diez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.01.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Noah Perfetti	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Amine Jamji	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Toby Samuel - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL

ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1

Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Daniel Merida Aguilar