Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.44
	2.82	1.41	Watch
			Watch
	2.89	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.48)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
33.5%

Francis Tiafoe
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 66. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.

Kovacevic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tiafoe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Quentin Halys - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.25	Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:3
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

Upcoming Matches