Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.87	Watch
	1.89	1.94
	1.83	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.84	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
50.4%

Mattia Bellucci
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 94. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 70.

Recent matches Kovacevic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovacevic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alan Magadan	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
02.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLW?L
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Mattia Bellucci - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.25	Alex De Minaur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
30.01.25	Mattia Bellucci - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide