Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Mattia Bellucci		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.42	2.94
	1.43	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)	2.73 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
65.6%

Yosuke Watanuki
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yosuke Watanuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 70. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 347.

Recent matches Bellucci is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watanuki is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watanuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bellucci will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.25	Alex De Minaur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Blake Ellis - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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