Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tomas Machac		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.39	2.73	Watch
	1.43	2.85
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.41	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	2.76 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
66.2%

Aleksandar Vukic
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 75., and Vukic is ranked ATP: 115..

In recent outings, Machac has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vukic shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vukic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Machac is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Machac has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Tomas Machac - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Tomas Machac - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Jie Cui - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
28.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Tomas Machac	0:2

Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic