Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1


	Aleksandar Vukic		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.66	1.32
	3.08	1.35	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.94)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
28.2%

Alexander Bublik
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Vukic (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukic (votes: 1 - 50%). Bublik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 93. Bublik is ranked ATP: 19.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vukic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vukic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.59%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Aleksandar Vukic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Stefan Dostanic - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Luca Pow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Alexander Bublik
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hyeon Chung - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
28.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ??LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Adelaide 2
09.01.22	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2

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