Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Jannik Sinner		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.06	10	Watch
			Watch
	1.03	10	Watch
	1.07	10.99
	1.07	7.39	Watch
			Watch
	1.07	8.98	Watch
	1.07	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.07)	9.06 ↑ (7.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
89.5%

Alexander Bublik
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.4%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bublik (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 3.

Sinner has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bublik has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.07 are the expected chance of winning is 87.35%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
18.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.25	Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0
ATP Halle
19.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0
ATP Halle
23.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Jannik Sinner	Bublik A. retired
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Miami
31.03.21	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Dubai
16.03.21	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	2:1

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