Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alexander Bublik		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.4
	1.19	4.41	Watch
	1.21	4.93
	1.21	4.32	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.21	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.22)	4.47 ↑ (4.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
78.8%

Tristan Schoolkate
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 24. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 96.

Bublik has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Schoolkate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic	3:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL

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