Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.85	1.43
	2.9	1.42
	3.06	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.51)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
32.1%

Brandon Nakashima
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	0%	54.2%

Aleksandar Vukic - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Nakashima will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakashima is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vukic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Atlanta
30.07.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Christopher Eubanks - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Ethan Quinn - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Atlanta
26.07.23	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Brandon Nakashima - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
26.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.21	Aleksandar Vukic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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