Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Brandon Nakashima		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.77
	1.47	2.68	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	2.64 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
63.8%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 98.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bautista-Agut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nakashima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.53%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLW?L
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	Bautista-Agut R. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Halle
21.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

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