The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aleksandar Vukic 51.2%
Emilio Nava 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
0%
44.4%
Aleksandar Vukic - Emilio Nava Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nava will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 23.1% – 88.1%.