Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.42	Watch
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3.01	1.43
	2.92	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
31.6%

Kei Nishikori
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: Kei Nishikori will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kei Nishikori will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 83. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 64.

Vukic has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nishikori is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nishikori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nishikori is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nishikori to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Billy Harris - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Aleksandar Vukic - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Christopher Eubanks	Nishikori K. retired ✺
01.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Yoshihito Nishioka	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?W?LW

Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide