Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Alexander Bublik		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	2 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
53.7%

Aleksandar Vukic
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 82. Vukic is ranked ATP: 64.

Bublik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vukic has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Mikael Ymer - Aleksandar Vukic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Adelaide 2
09.01.22	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2

Upcoming Matches