Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Aleksandar Vukic		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.22	1.63
	2.28	1.69
	7	1.09	Watch
	9.25	1.05
	12.9	1.07	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (2.32)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
22%

Rei Sakamoto
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 95. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 157.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vukic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.78%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Jay Clarke - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

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