Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Ilia Simakin		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.9
	1.22	3.82	Watch
			Watch
	1.23	3.92
	1.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.16)	3.93 ↓ (4.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
76.3%

Max Houkes
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ilia Simakin - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Houkes will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Houkes (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Houkes (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Houkes (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 254. Houkes is ranked ATP: 307.

Simakin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Houkes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simakin is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Houkes will win today's game, with odds of 5.72.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	Shimabukuro S. retired ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLL
- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
19.10.25	Max Houkes - Yassine Dlimi	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Max Houkes - Dinko Dinev	Dinev D. retired ✺
17.10.25	Max Houkes - Martin Van Der Meerschen	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Max Houkes - Edison Ambarzumjan	Ambarzumjan E. retired ✺
15.10.25	Max Houkes - Jordi Garcia Mestre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?W?W

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