Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - Final

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Toby Samuel		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.34	3.42
	1.17	4.61	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	3.47 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
72.8%

Ilia Simakin
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toby Samuel's performance.

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilia Simakin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 329. Simakin is ranked ATP: 281.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samuel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samuel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Toby Samuel - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Toby Samuel - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Toby Samuel - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Toby Samuel	Canceled ✺
23.11.25	Jay Clarke - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWW?W
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Petr Brunclik - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Eero Vasa - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin	2:0

Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide