Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ESTORIL (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alessandro Giannessi		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.52
	2.5	1.53
	2.67	1.53
	2.6	1.5
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.07)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Giannessi
37.3%

Fabio Fognini
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Giannessi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandro Giannessi's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandro Giannessi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabio Fognini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alessandro Giannessi - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Giannessi will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Fognini will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giannessi: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giannessi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fognini is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giannessi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fognini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giannessi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Estoril
02.04.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alessandro Giannessi	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLWW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Fabio Fognini - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Ben Shelton - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sao Paulo
02.03.17	Alessandro Giannessi - Fabio Fognini	0:2

Alessandro Giannessi - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide