Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Fabio Fognini		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.6	1.29
	3.6	1.33
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.38	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
27.6%

Jan-Lennard Struff
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	0%	82.6%

Fabio Fognini - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Struff is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Struff is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Struff to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fognini won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Ben Shelton - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Fabio Fognini - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Fabio Fognini - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Miami
21.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Learner Tien - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Fabio Fognini - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Toronto
09.08.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Fabio Fognini	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
18.04.18	Fabio Fognini - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2
ATP Munich
03.05.14	Fabio Fognini - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

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