Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Alevtina Ibragimova		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.62
	2.17	1.62
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.17	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alevtina Ibragimova
42.2%

Rebecca Sramkova
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alevtina Ibragimova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alevtina Ibragimova than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Alevtina Ibragimova - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ibragimova is ranked WTA: 168., and Sramkova is ranked WTA: 152..

Ibragimova has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sramkova is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sramkova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ibragimova has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Rebecca Sramkova - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.6%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alevtina Ibragimova
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Kyoka Okamura	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Daria Khomutsianskaya	2:1 ✺
WTA Seoul
22.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Yeon Woo Ku	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Beijing
28.09.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Jodie Anna Burrage	0:2 ✺
WTA Singapore
21.09.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
24.08.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2
ITF Tournaments
31.10.23	Alevtina Ibragimova - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0

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