Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.34
	1.67	2.11	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.11 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
55.4%

Alex Barrena
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Agustin Gomez's performance.

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Barrena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gomez will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 191. Barrena is ranked ATP: 224.

Gomez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gomez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.

Alex Barrena - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Hernan Casanova - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Fernando Cavallo - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Jack Draper	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Alex Barrena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Alex Barrena - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Alex Barrena - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2

Federico Agustin Gomez - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide