Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Andrea Collarini		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
38.3%

Alex Barrena
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Collarini's form might have worsened.

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Barrena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Collarini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Barrena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 228. Barrena is ranked ATP: 179.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collarini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
07.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Alex Barrena - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena	0:2

Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide