Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: WACO (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday


	Alex Bolt		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.35	1.57
	2.37	1.6
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.09)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
39.9%

Alex Michelsen
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Bolt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alex Bolt - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.02.23	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Alex Bolt - Justin Roberts	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Nick Hardt - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
23.02.23	Antonio Cayetano March - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Alex Michelsen - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
24.02.23	Alex Michelsen - Edan Leshem	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Alex Michelsen - Mats Moraing	Moraing M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWW?

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