Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Alex Bolt		Adam Walton

	1	2
	2.57	1.55
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.36)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
38.1%

Adam Walton
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Alex Bolt - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: Adam Walton will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 147. Walton is ranked ATP: 117.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 2.

Bolt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Walton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Walton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Walton will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.36%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Giles Hussey - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Aoran Wang - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Alex Bolt - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Adam Walton - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Adam Walton - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Adam Walton - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.24	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	0:2
08.05.24	Adam Walton - Alex Bolt	2:0
01.05.24	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	0:2
30.01.24	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.02.23	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	2:1
08.10.22	Alex Bolt - Adam Walton	2:1

Alex Bolt - Adam Walton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide