Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Keegan Smith		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.73	1.52
	2.48	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	1.5 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
37.1%

Alex Bolt
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 302. Bolt is ranked ATP: 147.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bolt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.62%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Keegan Smith - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Keegan Smith - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Giles Hussey - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Aoran Wang - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Alex Bolt - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2

Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide