Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 1 May 2026, Friday
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Keegan Smith |
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Alex Bolt |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.73 |
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1.52 |
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2.48 |
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1.49 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
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1.5 |
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2.45 |
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1.49 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.63) |
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1.5 ↑
(1.44) |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Keegan Smith
37.1% | Alex Bolt
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Smith is ranked ATP: 302. Bolt is ranked ATP: 147.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Bolt will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
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Last Results with these Odds
Keegan Smith - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Alex Bolt - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.62%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 28.02.23 | Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt | 0:2 |
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