Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Alex Bolt		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.54
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)	1.5 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
37.5%

Bu Yunchaokete
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Alex Bolt - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 154. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 175.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Yunchaokete might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Yunchaokete will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.63%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alex Bolt - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Alex Bolt - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Alex Bolt - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Yunseong Chung	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Alex Bolt	0:2

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