Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Bolt		Tung-Lin Wu

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
58.3%

Tung-Lin Wu
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Tung-Lin Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tung-Lin Wu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Bolt - Tung Lin Wu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 154. Wu is ranked ATP: 336.

Bolt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Alex Bolt - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Alex Bolt - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Alex Bolt - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWW
- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Woobin Shin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Alex Bolt - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0
02.05.19	Tung-Lin Wu - Alex Bolt	2:0

Alex Bolt - Tung-Lin Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide