Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Harry Wendelken		Tung-Lin Wu

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.64
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	2.44 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
61.6%

Tung-Lin Wu
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tung-Lin Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harry Wendelken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tung-Lin Wu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Harry Wendelken - Tung Lin Wu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Wendelken (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Harry Wendelken will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harry Wendelken will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wendelken (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 259. Wu is ranked ATP: 358.

Wendelken is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wendelken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tung-Lin Wu - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

Harry Wendelken - Tung-Lin Wu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide